It turns out that little numbers become big numbers. Check back on Florida, Georgia, and Louisiana in about a week, for a start. Might be a few other states that really get up a head of steam too - depends on the specific policies put in place (upper Midwest is definitely going to be a problem). Louisiana might barely manage to escape disaster, but I suspect it is too late, due to Mardi Gras. That was probably an excellent superspreading seeding event.
Anyway, I suspect it will be quite bad, but at the moment I don't see another New York out there (would be hard to rival the density there). The governors are really playing chicken with this. Does look like we could be pushing through a million actual (not counted) cases sometime end of next week, though.
GLTA!