This is from the Evergreen Health link above:
Correct. "Delay" is all we can manage now. And only if people are willing (or financially able) to self-isolate. So not goods odds there, either.
Not every cough is necessarily related to a virus. We have one older family member with a longstanding, intermittent, chronic cough that's long since been determined to be of no significant medical concern. Others have mild asthma, a "lisinopril cough" related to blood pressure meds, or a host of other conditions that are of no threat to others. Yes, please do cover your mouth while coughing, but please don't demonize people who cough in public.
That's likely been the case for weeks now, and the sooner we accept that covid19 is essentially endemic, the better. At this point, the amount of disruption that would be caused by attempting to rigorously contain the virus seems worse than the costs and lives lost due to simply letting it run its course. I think Elon is absolutely right. Loved his tweet. Condolences to anyone who loses a family member or becomes disabled due to covid19. But we have much bigger problems that deserve more attention than this virus, including climate change, air pollution, vehicle accidents, etc.
WHO China report says 3-10% reinfection to family members.
I concur on the degree of error, simply a statistical base not large enough, since there were not enough tests available, and there is a backlog despite UW efforts
It depends on the kind of exposure.
Wait till you find out how many old people attend churches or small group dinners. I hear the coffee shops in Seattle area are still full & busy.
That goes for every location though, the US less so. I spent the first 17 years of my life in Vietnam and it is night and day with the US how many people we come into contact with on a daily basis. If human contact correlates with spread rate then there is a considerable difference between Asian countries and the US. I'd dare say between some EU countries and the US. The virus is still going to spread, I'm not saying it won't but there is strong head wind here. You'll have the densely populated coasts taking most of the damage and unfortunately they are also economic hubs but even then they're no where like Asian countries. People here just don't like touching strange people or things very much.
