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I wouldn't be surprised at this point to get 8.1 mid to late February. I hope I'll be proven wrong though
I would venture even longer than that. I can't see how they release a major update such as 8.1 while still having such a restricted AP for HW2 cars. I would think that AP on HW2 cars would at a minimum have no Autosteering restrictions on the freeway, and possibility even no restrictions on surface streets (with the exception of +5MPH over).
I agree that AP2 progress is the hold up. Imagine if they roll out 8.1 to AP1 cars and then months pass without AP2 cars having at least parity to AP1 cars...PR nightmare
I just a got a software update notification on my HW1 S. Might just be a minor/prep update. But we'll see.
A lot people gave me a hard time to posting that I got an update notification.I just a got a software update notification on my HW1 S. Might just be a minor/prep update. But we'll see.
A lot people gave me a hard time to posting that I got an update notification.
You guys probably saw this already, but at the end of Musk's Tweetstorm this weekend, he said new mobile app is coming in about two weeks while the new kernel and other updates for HW1 is coming in about a month. There's a clear focus on HW2 software, hence the delay.
Elon Musk on Twitter
Basically, what was promised by end of December is now mid-March. I wouldn't bet on seeing Model 3 before mid to end of 2018.
Its remarkable that he doesn't address the issues directly though and just keeps talking about other stuff. Might as well come out and say its pushed out by a month and we want to roll in all these features and are going to ensure its in working order instead of keeping everyone guessing.
As a long term Tesla fan, I really hope they can get this under control. Having been in the software industry for a very long time, the idea of releasing hardware before the software is (anywhere near) complete seems an (almost) fatally flawed strategy though. I really hope they pull it off, but am still betting on AP3 hardware being necessary for FSD. Of course the answer might be to revise the meaning of FSD