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The next big milestone for FSD is 11. It is a significant upgrade and fundamental changes to several parts of the FSD stack including totally new way to train the perception NN.

From AI day and Lex Fridman interview we have a good sense of what might be included.

- Object permanence both temporal and spatial
- Moving from “bag of points” to objects in NN
- Creating a 3D vector representation of the environment all in NN
- Planner optimization using NN / Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS)
- Change from processed images to “photon count” / raw image
- Change from single image perception to surround video
- Merging of city, highway and parking lot stacks a.k.a. Single Stack

Lex Fridman Interview of Elon. Starting with FSD related topics.


Here is a detailed explanation of Beta 11 in "layman's language" by James Douma, interview done after Lex Podcast.


Here is the AI Day explanation by in 4 parts.


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Here is a useful blog post asking a few questions to Tesla about AI day. The useful part comes in comparison of Tesla's methods with Waymo and others (detailed papers linked).

 
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It reflects well how I’ve been thinking about it.

I treat system as work in progress. Usefulness and reduction in stress on the road come from using it at times, when it performs well or when even its limited capabilities make my process of driving easier and safer (ADAS / augmented driving). I don’t expect full end to end autonomy as I know FSD is not there yet.

In my everyday drives, the car absolutely keeps making mistakes. New builds bring improvements and regressions. Less traffic definitely improves the behavior but I drive in dense traffic about half of the time. Busy all way stops are a problem - hesitation, slow reaction but most of all lack of ability to ‘read’ other drivers and predict what they will do. So are multilane roundabouts and occasional unprotected left turns. There are also issues not related to other drivers that especially annoy me, like when my car changes lane before the intersection and ends up with its rear stuck two feet into the old lane and at the same time there is plenty of space ahead of it.

I’ve learned to expect those mistakes and I intervene either by gentle press of accelerator, sometimes continued press through a situation. I also have to adjust speed using the wheel, to keep the car flowing with the traffic. When I’ve someone tailgating me in a potentially problematic situation, I proactively hover foot over accelerator or disengage in advance.

Despite all of those frustrations I still choose to have it enabled most of the time on most of my drives as I find it adds up to my overall awareness of a situation on the road and helps me be a safer driver.

However, I don’t think current price, or 10k I paid for it, is a good value for most people. I also strongly believe the transfer of FSD beta on car upgrade should be allowed. In my eyes, Tesla overpromised capabilities and underestimated the rate of progress. They should at least compensate for it by allowing transfer of any FSD beta license to a new car at no cost.
It would be easier to treat it casual, as work in progress, if I wasn’t duped. $10k and over a year later of “beta testing” and it still doesn’t do what it was advertised to do…. Years ago.

It was funny for awhile. Now it's just bloating the threads and starting to get annoying.
What else is there to discuss in this thread when the releases are so far apart and so stale that I’m surprised the mold doesn’t grown on them.
 
It would be easier to treat it casual, as work in progress, if I wasn’t duped. $10k and over a year later of “beta testing” and it still doesn’t do what it was advertised to do…. Years ago.
Well … seems to me you are missing out on what is possible by bemoaning the unavailability of the science fiction that you expected.
 
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It would be easier to treat it casual, as work in progress, if I wasn’t duped. $10k and over a year later of “beta testing” and it still doesn’t do what it was advertised to do…. Years ago..


Here's what you were told it would do when you paid 10k for it:


fsdv5.png


Now that FSDb drives on city streets it does everything it was advertised to do.

You can certainly debate if it does it as well as you hoped of course.

But the only folks who are missing entire promised features from when they actually bought the thing are the pre March 2019 FSD buyers- all of whom paid a LOT less than 10k for it at least.
 
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Here's what you were told it would do when you paid 10k for it:


View attachment 935369

Now that FSDb drives on city streets it does everything it was advertised to do.

You can certainly debate if it does it as well as you hoped of course.

^^ I consider that as an advertisement. ^^

IMG_0936.jpeg


4 years later and you still can’t get FSDj to drive with your hands on your lap. What a success.
 
Other than the fact he never gets a hand-nag I didn't see anything the current FSDb can't do in that video (and I've certainly seen anecdotal reports of people claiming they can go more than 1:56 without getting a hand nag FWIW)
I’ll go ahead and assume you either have Model 3 or Y. FSDj on my refresh Model S is ass.
So your problem is that you can’t drive with your hands on the lap ?!
I want that smooth experience with no jerking off the steering yoke, yes, then I’ll stop bitching.
 
First I'd say given how sped up the Tesla video is it's unclear to what degree there's any jerk at all---- Second I'd say to my knowledge the refresh S is running the same FSDb a 3 or Y is running (and likely doing it on a better media computer than most 3/Ys are)- is there a video of whatever issue you're talking about on yours?
 
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First I'd say given how sped up the Tesla video is it's unclear to what degree there's any jerk at all---- Second I'd say to my knowledge the refresh S is running the same FSDb a 3 or Y is running (and likely doing it on a better media computer than most 3/Ys are)- is there a video of whatever issue you're talking about on yours?
I’ve posted a couple of videos here of it doing nonsensical things but overall experience on my refresh isn’t smooth, ton of hesitations, slamming brakes while full speed coming up on cars that are stopped at red lights, lane pin balling, getting out of lanes before up coming turns just to try to squeeze back into them or miss the turn and then reroute. Just complete outright nonsense that even an inexperienced driver wouldn’t do. But then there are all these shills with 3/Y posting all these great smooth no intervention for 100,000 mile drives. Starting to get a bit suspect that 3/Y have a better FSDj experience.
 
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I’ve posted a couple of videos here of it doing nonsensical things but overall experience on my refresh isn’t smooth, ton of hesitations, slamming brakes while full speed coming up on cars that are stopped at red lights, lane pin balling, getting out of lanes before up coming turns just to try to squeeze back into them or miss the turn and then reroute. Just complete outright nonsense that even an inexperienced driver wouldn’t do. But then there are all these shills with 3/Y posting all these great smooth no intervention for 100,000 mile drives. Starting to get a bit suspect that 3/Y have a better FSDj experience.
That is exactly my experience with FSDj, too.
 
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@WilliamG , @SeattleFSD - have you guys setup some time to test it out ? Latest video by @SeattleFSD seems to be starting in West Seattle ?
Drop me a line where and when. Next weekend would be perfect - my Mon thru Thurs is pretty busy. Anywhere within 30 mins of the Seattle area is cool with me. I assume you all have GoPros etc to document and someone has put together a test plan and route?
 
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But the only folks who are missing entire promised features from when they actually bought the thing are the pre March 2019 FSD buyers- all of whom paid a LOT less than 10k for it at least.
BTW - Anyone with a vision-only car (virtually all cars manufactured over the past 2+ quarters with no USS) is still missing significant functionality with no ETA - including Summon and Autopark, which are clearly on the list of FSD features.

This is probably about a million or more vehicles by now. I feel like I always need to point this out lest these poor souls be forgotten.