gregincal
Active Member
My premise isn't "ridiculous" in any way shape or form. People don't like change- people are used to getting gasoline and having their car readily available. You combine this with the increased cost of an ev vs. a Camry and you see why people will opt for the less expensive vehicle. Any buyer of the model 3 is taking a reliability risk in that there is no track record on the 3 vs. the Camry. Here is the honest truth- Tesla hasn't invested enough in charging stations. Take Ohio for example, the main question I get is where do you charge? What if you run out of charge? What if you aren't near a charger when you need one? These are the questions I get. There are a total of NINE count them NINE superchargers in Ohio. Not good enough at all IMO. Until Tesla is willing to quadruple their charging locations I still feel many people will be too anxious to switch to an EV. Before you start with the - "you can charge at home " argument please save it. I'm taking about chargers that are readily available on the road and not hundreds of miles apart. The second best thing to a supercharger near me is a 1771 plug that gets 18 mph. Again, way too slow IMO.
You are completely talking past the points that most of us are making. Yes, the Model 3 will probably never be as mainstream as a Camry. Your fallacy was that it was ever intended to be, because it wasn't. That doesn't mean Tesla won't sell as many as they can build (which is a whole lot less than any of the other car manufacturers are able to build). This is Teslas first attempt at a high volume (i.e. Mass Market) car. Their projections are ambitious (both on the sales side and the production side), but if it even sells half as much as they are predicting it will be a wild success.