^This^ They are eliminating price compression. The top spec Model 3 will be north of $70K USD. They were making peanuts or breaking even on S60.The top spec M3 might be same price as the current S60.
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^This^ They are eliminating price compression. The top spec Model 3 will be north of $70K USD. They were making peanuts or breaking even on S60.The top spec M3 might be same price as the current S60.
i do believe that lighter battery pack will improve handling and performance but I don't believe it will do mush to range. In city driving it will maybe do some but on highway driving there you most of the time is in need for range weight donät do mush differens, it's nearly all about drag.Here are some other Model S related changes I would expect to see in the future:
- The Model S 90D and Model X 90D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017.
- In 2018, the Model S and X will switch from the current 18650 Japan cells to the higher energy density and cheaper 2170 Gigafactory cells. The battery pack sizes will stay the same. The 100 kWh pack will still be 100 kWh but the new packs will be lighter and cheaper to manufacture.
- When the S/X switch to 2170 cells, handling, performance, and range will improve because of weight reduction. I would expect 2.6% range improvement because of this change.
- In 2018, Tesla will change the front design of the Model S and X to match the Model 3. This will improve range by 12.5% based on the 0.21 drag coefficient number Elon tweeted. Elon said the Model 3 will hopefully have 0.21 drag coefficient. The Model S has 0.24, which means 1-0.21/0.24= 12.5% difference.
Good thing I just ordered my 60D a few days ago. I wonder if the removal of the 60kWh option could have anything to do with migrating the S/X to packs with the new cells? Fewer packs to design and build?
Tesla Model S weight about 2000 kg and of this the batteries is 600 kg. Tesla have talked about a 30% improvement on the 2170 cells compere to the first cells use in Model S 85 kWh. Compere to 100 kWh its a improvement of 10% in size. Lets say that it's the same improvement in weight and that its for the hole pack. That would mean that the pack will be 60 kg lighter wish is 3% improvement. Will a 3% lighter car have 2.6% longer range? No, I don't believe so because there is a lot of other things that the range depends on. Have four passenger with you and according to you the range will drop 12%.Hi, @vigge50. I was talking about EPA rated range. For example, the Model S 75D's rated range would improve from 259 mi to 266 mi when they switch to 2170 cells. 3 of the 5 EPA test cycles are for city driving.
The roof and sides of the Model S might have an effect as you said. In that case, the range improvement might be maybe 11% instead of 12.5%. The point is, Tesla must change the front design of the Model S/X. Otherwise, the Model 3 will always be far superior. Currently, we are talking about 18-20% more range with the same battery size. That's too much difference. This undermines the reason for the Model S to exist.
More range with the same battery means faster supercharging and cheaper charging costs. For example, the Model S 75D supercharges 9% faster than the Model X 75D because it has 9% more range. The Model 3 75D will supercharge 18-20% faster than the Model S 75D.
Of course, all 75 kWh batteries will supercharge from 0 to 100% at the same time regardless of what car the battery is attached to. However, let's say somebody wants to supercharge to 230 rated miles. 230 rated miles means supercharging to 230/237= 97% in the X75D, 230/259= 88.9% in the S75D and 230/304= 75.7% in the 3-75D. Therefore contrary to common assumptions, the Model 3 75D is a better vehicle than the Model S 75D for long distance travel.
Here are some other Model S related changes I would expect to see in the future:
- The Model S 90D and Model X 90D will be discontinued by the end of Aug 2017.
- In 2018, the Model S and X will switch from the current 18650 Japan cells to the higher energy density and cheaper 2170 Gigafactory cells. The battery pack sizes will stay the same. The 100 kWh pack will still be 100 kWh but the new packs will be lighter and cheaper to manufacture.
- When the S/X switch to 2170 cells, handling, performance, and range will improve because of weight reduction. I would expect 2.6% range improvement because of this change.
- In 2018, Tesla will change the front design of the Model S and X to match the Model 3. This will improve range by 12.5% based on the 0.21 drag coefficient number Elon tweeted. Elon said the Model 3 will hopefully have 0.21 drag coefficient. The Model S has 0.24, which means 1-0.21/0.24= 12.5% difference. Drag coefficient is related to the shape of the design, not the dimensions. For example, the much smaller Tesla Roadster has 0.35 drag coefficient. Therefore it is perfectly possible that the Model S could also have 0.21 drag coefficient like the Model 3. It is true that the Model S has a bigger frontal area than the Model 3 but it is only 2.9% bigger. See details here.
I guess I don't get the model 3 / Model S comparisons.
The model 3 is always going to look like an economy car to me
Plus I need all the extra space that the S has ... I use every inch of the storage capacity.
I have a very different view of what an economy car looks like than you do.
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No doubt pretty much every Model 3 buyer does... and it IS a pretty car for it's class. I suppose I should say small sedan rather than economy car, but I just see the greater proportion of glass to body with the shorter wheelbase, and it's the first thing that jumps to mind.
It's just not beautiful to me like the Model S with it's longer, more powerful shape which people remark on all the time, even when they don't know it's a Tesla.
I admit I'm totally biased, but the Model 3 just didn't "grab" me at all. It's a pretty version of the basic shape required of a small 5 door sedan.
I agree that few are upgrading to 75kwh but disagree Tesla is "losing" money. They are just not getting that extra $8500 bump for the upgrade. Here on TMC we have gone over the 60/75 batteries and beat it to a dead horse. The consensus though has been the 60 is a great deal and can be charged to 100% daily.
I would not upgrade for a dime over $500. I would like some kwh cushion but can live w/o it
I prefer the options to be separate from the battery size. This lets you get the actual car the you want rather than a prepackaged set that the manufacture wants to sell you.We just ordered a 60 after a short debate on whether we needed to the extra 30-40 miles of range for $6,500. I think Tesla made a big mistake with their pricing structure by only increasing the price depending on battery size or options. I didn't see any difference between the 60 and 75 except range and subsequent price increase.
When you buy a BMW, Mercedes, etc, e.g. the 320i which is lowest base engine model has the bare bones as standard. Move up to the next model, the 330i, you get a few extra options standard, and move to the 340i even more is included. I think Tesla should have given more incentive to get people to buy the 75 than just range alone. The value proposition wasn't there IMO.
I wished Tesla didn't discontinue the X60D until the end of last year (as opposed to October). That being said, it made my decision been a Model S vs Model X much easier.I just wished Tesla discontinue the S60 in August since I don't need car till August......
Tesla marketing is good for the company, they have strategies to keep the company afloat as public company with significant shareholders expectation and only have 2 cars as their product.