I have the same status: Waiting Contract and VIN, competed all tasks; Lic, Reg, Ins
I think the best indication is Troy's delivery spreadsheet see "Teslike Model Y Survey & Order Tracker Spreadsheet".
I think Tesla will focus on Performance and Long Range AWD Model Ys until they mostly clear the backlog.
Then I think they will do a run of LR RWD Model Ys or decide to sell us Long Range AWD models with front motors as a software-enabled upgrade feature. I think most likely is the limited run of LR RWD units, since they will likely start the SR RWD orders after that.
As of July 14, they are have cleared about
58.5% Long Range AWD
70.2% Performance
backlog and are producing about 5% to 7% of the backlog a week.
So around mid-September to mid-October.
It all depends on the production volume and the number of Performance and LR AWD orders.
Right now little is getting delivered because at the beginning of the quarter they ship the cars to the furthest destinations.
For Model Y this is Quebec and the East coast and all the cars are going to spend 3 weeks on rail and road.