Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013

[callmesam]

OT but how do you come up with 6250 DELIVERED? My best guess is a little over guidance (e.g, 5200). Some folks on factory tour a couple days ago said factory produced over 5400 cars in Q2.

Didn't Elon say on the quarterly call that they didn't book any sale where "the paperwork was exactly right". TM booked just enough sales to be profitable.

This quarter, they'll pull some sales forward, sell loaners built in Q1 and then sell the 5400+ cars produced.

 

[Yuri_G]

Volume is huge again, today.

 

[Norse]

Wow the bid-ask spread on many of the options right now is ridikidonk. This thing has to settle for a couple of trading days I think. Then the build-up to earnings could go anyway and then BAM. Or at least I hope so.

Im sure it will! I will hopefully be in the optionmarket soon

 

[Clprenz]

OT but how do you come up with 6250 DELIVERED? My best guess is a little over guidance (e.g, 5200). Some folks on factory tour a couple days ago said factory produced over 5400 cars in Q2.

Hahaha my bad, i meant something like 5250 too and EPS of .08

 

[FredTMC]

Didn't Elon say on the quarterly call that they didn't book any sale where "the paperwork was exactly right". TM booked just enough sales to be profitable.

This quarter, they'll pull some sales forward, sell loaners built in Q1 and then sell the 5400+ cars produced.

IMO, There's no way nearly 1000 cars produced in Q1 weren't delivered until Q2. Same with loaners built in Q1

- - - Updated - - -

Hahaha my bad, i meant something like 5250 too and EPS of .08

Ah. Yep. You da man. Thanks for that. I nearly had a stroke. ;-)

 

[twinklejet]

The other thread was estimating 5454 for Q2 based on a "screen" they saw that Tesla allegedly accidentally left on during a factory tour.

 

[emupilot]

nooooooooo i was waiting for 100 to buy in!! :crying: its running up again!!

A few weeks ago, I had a buy-in price of $92. It only went down to $96... and then went to $130. I don't get greedy anymore, and I eat my pride after having sold at a lower price - if it takes a dive, I just buy it - got a bunch of calls yesterday at $108.

 

[blakegallagher]

Last two days best days of the year for me. I moved just right at just the right time.

nicely done ... my timing was way off ... went all in well before the bottom .... hopefully over the next couple weeks my trade looks good

 

[Citizen-T]

nicely done ... my timing was way off ... went all in well before the bottom .... hopefully over the next couple weeks my trade looks good

Mostly luck.

 

[joefee]

I hope the "analysts" keep getting it wrong thus encouraging the shorts to loose their shirts:

Tesla shares hit on Goldman note - The Tell - MarketWatch

"mid-case envisioned for Tesla is where it sells 150,000 units with margins of 14.8% for a price target of $83.”

In 18 months I can see Model S/X selling 150K units worldwide with 3 shifts running full bore at 28% margin (price target 220)…in 3-4 years 500K units with GIII….6 yrs 1M units in two factories, with variants of GIII, S/X, Tesla Truck, new super-car with a NASCAR win GO Leilanie, etc. price target = multiples of $83.

PT affirmation @ $200 by

Tesla Rises on Dougherty Target Price Boost: Mover - Bloomberg

 

[clmason]

Too early to congratulate those who bought yesterday? :smile:

 

[Jonathan Hewitt]

Too early to congratulate those who bought yesterday? :smile:

I'm wondering the same thing. I've never bought more than 5 options contracts at once until yesterday. I bought 10 AUG13 105 calls when it was around $109.50. They are up over 50% now! I don't know whether I should celebrate yet or not. I'm thinking about selling half to reduce risk in case this is a short lived vicotory, but with the earnings report here in 3 weeks...

 

[ShortSlaver]

Too early to congratulate those who bought yesterday? :smile:

I bought some AUG options near the bell yesterday and sold them today for a nice little bonus. Could keep holding them but the stock is so volatile right now I was happy to cushion some of the losses. I think there's more downside risk now so calls might be in order again.

 

[Jack6591]

Wouldn't right about (anytime now), be a great time for the White House to respond to our petition.

 

[SteveG3]

Elon being killed off, or dying in a "freak accident" (i.e. an assasination) is a valid concern and one I've had for a while.

Elon downing wine given to him by unknown person at talk was not my favorite TESLIVE moment

 

[ysednev]

TSLA is restricted to short selling today due to rule 201, tomorrow might be a big down day

 

[vgrinshpun]

Elon downing wine given to him by unknown person at talk was not my favorite TESLIVE moment

But he shared it with the person who presented him the bottle...

 

[Jonathan Hewitt]

What does Atlas technologies make for TSLA? Please don't say machinery, haha.

http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowa...ote-sues-atlas-technologies/?mod=yahoobarrons

 

[bhuwan]

TSLA is restricted to short selling today due to rule 201, tomorrow might be a big down day

Interesting point.

 

[bonnie]

Elon downing wine given to him by unknown person at talk was not my favorite TESLIVE moment

It was absolutely my favorite moment. Genuine and moving. She was not 'unknown', she was a registered TESLIVE participant and a huge fan.