Phillip L
Gas Passer
I do find that some of the arguments seem spurious to me. For instance, that permits and building do not get done because of winter. I can buy it up here in the Great White North but in sunny California?My point in the original post was that in Southern California and in the Bay Area we are already seeing the impact of too many Teslas and too few Superchargers. If you want to see what the rest of the country will look like, come take a look here. We already have regular lines at a lot of locations. Start in San Diego and drive North on the 5/405, want to stop in San Juan Capistrano, no chance. Okay drive further north on the 405 to Fountain Valley, yeah right.
My concern in the original post here was that these problems are here, right now. Tesla is building out the network strategically for travel across the US and that is fantastic, but the density buildout in California is just not happening. May is around the corner, and still not a single Supercharger permit has been found, construction started, or a new Supercharger opened in 2017. California is Teslas bread and butter, and it seems we are being ignored for now. California is also where the M3 is going to be rolled out first. Imagine the press when thousands of never before EV drivers who don't know better to charge at home (because the new "5 minute delivery" didn't go over that) and the news footage shows dozens of M3's lined up waiting at a Supercharger.
My concern is exactly that articulated by you. That the Model III production with swamp the Supercharger network, and that the expected doubling of the SC's is not happening. The real advantage that Tesla has, in my mind, is their quick charging enabled by SC's. With the flood of new ev's coming they want to continue to differentiate their company from the rest. The new Volkswagen electric Golf is just the beginning of a host of new ev's coming. The publicity from long lines at SC's would be devastating to the Tesla brand.