AlanSubie4Life
Efficiency Obsessed Member
More people infected, more chances for virus to make someone dead. Serology tests in NYC show ~25% people in NYC have coronavirus antibodies.
But that’s exactly what I said (except I used the last figure of 20% I was aware of).
I think you lost the thread somewhere. The discussion was an extrapolation of mortality to the rest of the US based on NYC mortality. So infection rates don’t matter (unless the attack rates and incidence are stratified by age differently in other locations, as discussed).
What we were not discussing was the likelihood of achieving a certain level of incidence in a given location.
You may want to go back about 5-6 posts to see the original (silly!) contention about how this is no big deal because not that many people have died relative to all the other reasons people have died.
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