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But it's not remotely comparable. It's not about how many possibilities, it's using current evidence to reach a conclusion. The evidence for the moon landing is strongly in favor of it being legitimate, so we make our probabilistic assessment that it is indeed legitimate. The evidence for simulation is just what Elon stated in his argument - we're going to be able to simulate worlds indistinguishable from our own within a few decades, and we're a relatively young species. So you draw from that evidence what you might.

For me, I don't care what my reality is, I just know it's my reality. So I'm going to play this "game" within the given constraints, based on the evidence I can gather.

Exactly. It's a meta-philosophical notion so it really should have no bearing on how we live our lives.
 
The chances of living in a simulation being considered high I believe is based on a flawed probability calculation. Not saying it isn't possible, but probably not nearly as likely as some are suggesting. That's one crazy train I'm not getting on.

How many different ways could the moon landing have been faked? So odds are good the moon landing was faked? Seems comparable.

Not at all the same. Your gut and intuition is revolting against something because it feels "unnatural" and you come up with a straw man counter argument. What you're suggesting is not at all the simulation argument. Please take the time to read and understand the argument if you want to discuss the probabilies involved.

Are You Living in a Simulation?
 
The chances of living in a simulation being considered high I believe is based on a flawed probability calculation. Not saying it isn't possible, but probably not nearly as likely as some are suggesting. That's one crazy train I'm not getting on.

How many different ways could the moon landing have been faked? So odds are good the moon landing was faked? Seems comparable.
There is virtually zero chance the moon landing was faked. For a start there were just way too many people involved for it to be kept secret at the time. The technology wasn't up to that kind of faking, and they've found the remains of the landing on the moon. Also most of us have our jobs because of the technology invented or promoted from the Apollo program.

Saying that the moon landing was faked is similar to saying the that Holocaust didn't happen. Eisenhower told his staff to take all the pictures they could possibly take because someone in the future would say it didn't happen (and they have).
 
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Seems apropo.
 
Most fear to hear anything that rocks their little"computer world".

Let me correct that statement for you. Some fear.... Many of the people 'here' simply don't agree with you.

I've been warned to stop posting "religious" things. So I will be one more voice removed from your sphere of influence.

It has nothing to do with your voice being removed. It's forum policy to not talk politics or religion, post porn or other provocative stuffs. This is very specifically a Tesla Enthusiasts Forum. No more, no less. No conspiracy. No trying to shut you off. Anyone who wants to discuss religion et al are free to seek out a forum that caters to that.

My only point from the beginning was this was turning into a uncontested religious discussion.

Yeah, wasn't really your point or you'd just have posted that single statement and moved on.

It was about a week after my first post Elon says we live in a computer game. Wow, very scientific. I guess you all love the idea of living in someones computer.

I can only speak for myself (and you should really only speak for yourself or choose better words). I'm not part of any 'all', nor do I love the idea of living in someone's computer. I've actually never even given it a moments thought until quite recently. It is fascinating, but frankly I'm really fine with what I've thought all my life about my (our) existence. And as long as people don't preach at me (which is exactly the feeling I get when you post), particularly when I've chosen to participate in an environment that has rules stating to keep discussions away from specific topics, I'm perfectly okay with you believing what you do. Summarized: keep it (religious belief) to yourself on this forum and I'll keep it to myself on this forum.

"Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools". Put me in a debate live with Elon and he would most likely put me #2 in charge just like Pharaoh did Joseph.

:rolleyes:
 
chugga chugga choo choo crazy train! All aboard! Okay, I'm sorry, I'm just poking fun at the idea of living in a computer simluation. The real problem is there are too many variables to the question for which we have no idea what the values for those variables would be. The chances could be high, they could be near zero. So it's all just gut feelings. My gut says it's pretty unlikely. Others will say it's pretty likely. But in the end it is a pointless debate as there is no evidence one way or the other. Just speculation.

BTW, if you think we are living in a computer simulation, then the moon landing was indeed faked, from a certain point of view; as is everything else in this world. Just an interesting point to ponder.
 
chugga chugga choo choo crazy train! All aboard! Okay, I'm sorry, I'm just poking fun at the idea of living in a computer simluation. The real problem is there are too many variables to the question for which we have no idea what the values for those variables would be. The chances could be high, they could be near zero. So it's all just gut feelings. My gut says it's pretty unlikely. Others will say it's pretty likely. But in the end it is a pointless debate as there is no evidence one way or the other. Just speculation.

BTW, if you think we are living in a computer simulation, then the moon landing was indeed faked, from a certain point of view; as is everything else in this world. Just an interesting point to ponder.

Applying the antropic principle allows us to draw inference without having the full evidence available to us. In other words we can "calculate" a probability distribution for something such as whether reality is a simulation or not by applying reasonably weighted prior probabilites, even though we will never ever be able to know the real truth (if the simulation stops we cease to exist).

Anthropic principle - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
View attachment 181441 So Mr Musk's plan to accelerate the development of sustainable transport is gaining momentum and Volkswagon group has had an epiphany.

Volkswagen group to phase out more than 40 car models: report

But is the whole VAG diesel scandal just a part of Mr Musk's nefarious plans? Is he really just sitting in his volcano lair planning to save us from ourselves (gasp) against our will? .


Back on track ... Elon's secret plan to convert other automakers to EVs is working... Brilliant! :cool:

Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) will stop producing more than 40 car models in the coming years as part of a new strategy by Europe's biggest automaker, German newspaper Handelsblatt reported on Saturday.

Volkswagen (VW) said on Thursday it would invest billions of euros in electric cars, ride-hailing and automated driving to become a world leader in green transport by 2025 as it reshapes its business following a diesel emissions scandal
 
The evidence for simulation is just what Elon stated in his argument - we're going to be able to simulate worlds indistinguishable from our own within a few decades, and we're a relatively young species. So you draw from that evidence what you might.
Our world is pretty crazy. When you look at the physical laws; the way chemistry works; and most of all, the utterly random results of evolution. Sure, we could simulate it. But suppose we were an intelligent species in some other universe. Why the heck would we want to simulate *this*?

Most simulations are cleaner and more elegant than reality. This is the evidence that we are not living in a simulation. Or if we are, the guy who wrote the simulation was a perverse nutcase who liked to write really ugly simulations. :)
 
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It complex/crazy for us. This doesn't mean it's complex for a super-intelligent species.
Maybe a single law can explain everything, it just has a thousand of parameters, the point is: if it's so, this is an elegant solution. you don't invent a thousands of rules, you just put one, complex, law that determine everything..
But if you don't see the global equation, you just think it's all crazy and non interconnected.
What in the hell has a thunder in common with the static shock you get when exiting the car? all. the point is, if you don't know it .. it seems it's governed by 2 different law, but it isn't
 
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