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jgillispie
Member
Cant agree more. AWD so late is almost penalizing those people since the tax credit will be starting its run out for most.I suppose it doesn't matter to them either way.
WierdMobile
Duel Motors
Non-owner, first line-waiter in Kansas City, MO. This is what my estimate looks like after the recent update. I'm cautiously optimistic that Tesla may have been overly conservative, and that after initial feedback on this survey they are getting more confident in the estimate and actually believe that the updated estimate is more accurate, and not just bumping AWD up because that's what I want them to tell me. July-September still misses the full tax credit, but I've made peace with that after seeing September-November on Friday.
Foxhound199
Member
From the screenshot of an Employee Model 3 configuration page.
First look at the Tesla Model 3 online configurator
Foxhound199
Member
Sorry, that's where I saw it too. I meant why is financing more for the 3 than the S?
WierdMobile
Duel Motors
I'd imagine that companies tend to provide better financing rates for the models they want to sell more of. BMW definitely does this. Tesla is also not talking Model 3 leases for some reason, although this should be a very popular option for buyers due to the changing tech. The lease info will provide their residual estimate which would be interesting info.
I just noticed one item on the calculations that might skew the actual/correct date for some regions. So for me (seattle), it's saying I'm ~100k of 440k, or 22% in the line. (3/31 22:00)
Then it takes the reservations for this region (~5k), and times the 22%, making me about 1300 spot (for non-owners, non-employees). Add owners and employees before me, I get estimate for mid-Dec. Great.
So it makes assumption that the global 22% matches the regional reservation times too. But many regions don't have Tesla showrooms, at least as plenty, so people might order more online. Most people I know locally, went in-line to order while I was unfortunately busy that day so I had to wait until home and order online. So my assumption is that for first day reservations I'm one of the last ones for the region, definitely not in the 22% spot. I'd love to be that early, but I just think it's optimistic. The global reservation rate is probably different than west coast, since people can actually go fairly easy to local showrooms.
Then it takes the reservations for this region (~5k), and times the 22%, making me about 1300 spot (for non-owners, non-employees). Add owners and employees before me, I get estimate for mid-Dec. Great.
So it makes assumption that the global 22% matches the regional reservation times too. But many regions don't have Tesla showrooms, at least as plenty, so people might order more online. Most people I know locally, went in-line to order while I was unfortunately busy that day so I had to wait until home and order online. So my assumption is that for first day reservations I'm one of the last ones for the region, definitely not in the 22% spot. I'd love to be that early, but I just think it's optimistic. The global reservation rate is probably different than west coast, since people can actually go fairly easy to local showrooms.
modamoda
Member
This is somewhat interesting. TX, CO, MO has priority over West Coast non-owners and East Coast owners.
Thomas Edison
Active Member
modamoda
Member
I neither have idea. I'm also curious. I can't find any relation among those states.
DrivingRockies
Closed
My assumption is the relatively small number of cars that are pulled by those states. They can be covered in a very short amount of time.
WierdMobile
Duel Motors
Is the current incarnation of the chart including all of the data in this thread? Because Tesla updated their calculations and pushed AWD forward by 2-3 months over the weekend. So the date that the data was taken from the Tesla site matters. That's why I included the date on my second screenshot.
ModelNforNerd
Active Member
Well, I would say that this data is non-authoritative, because you missed my data subset entirely.
East Coast, non-owner, line waiter.
I have lost production estimate since yesterday. I'm back to "More information on your Model 3 is coming soon".
Probably something I posted..........
Probably something I posted..........
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