I dunno, I'm not reading anything into that Elon tweet about issues. He says so much cryptic, random stuff, and most of it usually ends up meaning something completely different than what most folks would infer. There may be nothing at all wrong with the car, and he could be talking about transportation, distribution, or delivery issues.The longer we have to wait, the more concerned I get that the final product is going to be a "screw it, ship it" situation, like with the holiday update where it was silently delayed, then people started getting suspicious and what we got was nothing short of terrible and disappointing with a promise to get even more cool features once some bugs were fixed. Yeah that hasn't arrived 3 months later.
I'm really starting to feel like Elon forced Tesla to bite off more radical features than they could actually reasonably address. A likely scenario is that they keep finding more and more bugs which would align with Elon's tweet.
IDK, have a bad feeling about this. A silent delay and EOQ factors to me mean that at some point in the next week, sure they will get out VINs, but the cars are going to be littered with problems. Looking at it another way, this late in the game, what kind of issues could they be fixing that would cause a several week delay? I just don't see an answer that doesn't equal trouble.
Again, wish official communication would come out and if there are known bugs, just tell us it's going to be Q2 for god's sake. All of my money is on the dumb "guess your gear" feature that isn't needed. I mean that whole thing sounds like an opportunity for a disaster. Way too many edge cases. Yeah, hmm, IDK.
Based on all the evidence, my guess is that the cars are fully baked and ready to go, just waiting on final word from NHTSA on whether they can ship with a yoke. So Tesla starts the line and working process improvements to increase output in the meantime with a backup plan to retrofit depending on NHTSA's final call. It's why we're not seeing them churned out by the hundreds yet: they don't want to throw away TOO much money on yokes they have to trash, yet they want to be prepared with cars sitting in dealer lots with contingency wheels to hit the ground running when NHTSA gives the word. Theoretically this would let them have at least some cars delivered by EOQ. This scenario lines up both with Elon's cryptic tweet about issues and the NHTSA recent statement. It also fits with the original expected timeline of shipping in late Feb/March; Tesla probably got estimated approval timelines and (reasonably) based their delivery announcements on them. This is all well and good, but federal bureaucracies do NOT march to the beat of anyone's drum, and I can tell you from experience that these kinds of regulatory bodies are almost always untimely and disorganized.