Model S Reservation Tally

[vfx]

But either way, reservations don't stop on weekends. We're talking about reservation rate--doesn't really matter when they're built!

They sell a lot of these at stores. Tesla salespeople compete at a "cars sold per day/week/month" level. Arguably they do more sales on weekends with more foot traffic.

 

[Trnsl8r]

Thanks, folks! Yeah, I was thinking (based on this thread) that it was roughly 100 in a week or so, and that seems good to me (great summary of why that's good, Todd).



If you skip weekends, it's 76.6 per day (close to 80) to get 20K. Holidays would probably push it up to 80 or so. I'm just guessing on where 80 comes from. Do auto factories work 365/year?

Confirmed, that was my line of thinking.

 

[kendallpb]

But either way, reservations don't stop on weekends. We're talking about reservation rate--doesn't really matter when they're built!

Ah! I was thinking of another thread where they were talking about about production.

 

[Todd Burch]

Right now Tesla's averaging 1/3 of the rate of reservations they'll need to max out their goal production rate (currently 18/day...need 55/day). Sounds likely to me that they'll hit it.

 

[Trnsl8r]

But either way, reservations don't stop on weekends. We're talking about reservation rate--doesn't really matter when they're built!

Unghf... Now, a couple of hours later, I realize my skewed logic. :redface: You're right of course. It's been a long day...

 

[brianman]

General Production, of course (Signature's sold out)

Welcome to the party!

Make sure Tesla knows to put you on the Signature waiting list if you're interested.

 

[kendallpb]

Welcome to the party!

Thanks! :-D

Make sure Tesla knows to put you on the Signature waiting list if you're interested.

I just read something about that earlier today -- didn't realize there was a waitlist (though that makes sense) -- but I decide a while ago that I wasn't interested. I did a little spreadsheet to compare options and decided that for what I want, it didn't make sense to get the Signature (or Performance).

 

[Robert.Boston]

I did a little spreadsheet to compare options and decided that for what I want, it didn't make sense to get the Signature (or Performance).

No spreadsheet will ever show the sense of getting the Performance option. That's a gut decision about the fun factor.

 

[grisnjam]

Just to add a bit more data to the reserve rate, I reserved #6316 on 12/19/2011. So #8,061 on 3/28/2012 means 1745 production reservations over 101 days for a rate of 17.5 a day. Not bad!

Also since they were still taking sigs during some of this time the true rate would be somewhat higher.

 

[NigelM]

Latest quote from JB, suggests that MM's tally is pretty accurate:

Straubel said Tesla has already taken more than 10,000 reservations for Model S vehicles and is already sold out for 2012.

 

[kendallpb]

No spreadsheet will ever show the sense of getting the Performance option. That's a gut decision about the fun factor.

LOL, of course. I had already decided I didn't need/want the Performance version (and couldn't justify the cost). But, being compulsive about these things, included all four versions (regular, sig, perf, sig perf) in my spreadsheet anyway.

 

[smorgasbord]

Is anyone keeping a tally of What Reservation # has been asked to make/lock-in its configuration? And then, a tally of time to delivery after lock-in?

That would be useful information to both track how quickly Tesla is producing cars, as well as helping those down the line predict when a) they'll get the configure call, and b) they'll take delivery.

 

[gg_got_a_tesla]

Good idea. Maybe, Michigan can track in his first post

1) latest number to be asked to config and

Later on,
2) latest sig # to be delivered

And, further down the road,
3) latest of each of 85/60/40 packs to be delivered in general prod

 

[Joel]

Good idea. Maybe, Michigan can track in his first post

1) latest number to be asked to config and

Later on,
2) latest sig # to be delivered

And, further down the road,
3) latest of each of 85/60/40 packs to be delivered in general prod

I can track this. As far as I know, Tesla contacted only the first 40 reservation holders on March 21st. Once we hear others, I'll post it.

 

[ddenboer]

I have moved from P#5748 to S#1058

 

[Sans Gas]

S, P, 7011, Punta Gorda, Florida

 

[Joel]

S, P, 7011, Punta Gorda, Florida

I don't follow. Is your reservation number P 7,011?

 

[brianman]

@michigan - I think "Model S, P, 7011" is what was intended (as compared to "X, P, 7011").

 

[kvietor]

S, P, 7011, Punta Gorda, Florida

Go to Tesla Model S & X Reservations and list your reservation.

 

[neroden]

I can track this. As far as I know, Tesla contacted only the first 40 reservation holders on March 21st. Once we hear others, I'll post it.

The difference between Sig Special and Sig is still confusing the counting for me; we don't know how many Sig Specials there actually are, versus regular Sigs (given that the total count is over 1200 and we know there are only 1000).
When the holder of Regular Sig #1 gets his configuration call, that may give me a lot more information on where I am in the queue....