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  1. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    Tesla To Set Model 3 Sales Record In The Netherlands: 6,500 In Q3 Currently at 4,821 registered Model 3 in the Netherlands for September. Looks like we're still waiting for data on Friday's deliveries I'm hoping it's similar to Thursday's 500+ day and then there should be a couple more to...
  2. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That's the third highest delivery day ever for Model 3 there and more than any day in all of Q2! September is gonna be huge. Also of note 234 of those 369 were LR AWD so good mix!
  3. NannerAirCraft

    US Market Situation and Outlook (Rob Stark's American Megathread)

    Incredible the demand Tesla still has in california for all 3 models. Looking forward to the H2 numbers since seasonally the second half is much stronger in sales.
  4. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    Do we have any idea how well Model 3 is selling in the UK so far? This is the first full month is been available I think and they've registered a lot of RHD vins recently.
  5. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Scalped some short term calls on this rise just now. Still going after I sold.
  6. NannerAirCraft

    US Market Situation and Outlook (Rob Stark's American Megathread)

    Tesla Model 3, S & X Sales In U.S. In July 2019 13,450 for the first month of the quarter vs 10,050 in Q2. Demand very strong considering the loss of another half of the tax credit. Model S&X are also up compared to April. Total Sales of 15,650 vs 11,925 in April. Obviously these are all...
  7. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I don't see any mention of when Phase 3 will start from the article and I'm guessing it all won't happen in one quarter. Anyone have info on how long until they start installing the next 50,000?
  8. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    At current volumes though it's simply still not enough to deliver a consistent profit. They had 25%~ in Q3-Q4.
  9. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    According to the google sheet I use for my estimates yes 10k per week combined S3X would produce a modest profit although that is assuming opex stays the same and margins don't fall any further.
  10. NannerAirCraft

    US Market Situation and Outlook (Rob Stark's American Megathread)

    In June Tesla Increased Its Share In The U.S. Plug-In Market To 68% Looking at the rest of the charts in the article it seems like the Model X is holding up well compared to the slump of the Model S compared to recent years sales.
  11. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Wow they said orders exceeded deliveries this quarter that's incredibly bullish for demand seeing as they delivered 95k vehicles! That China factory can't come soon enough.
  12. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Model 3 deliveries in the Netherlands are now only 12 units off from breaking the Q1 total with two days left. If you include S&X they have beat the Q1 total as a brand. Also seeing a nice increase in S&X sales in Spain and Norway compared to Q1.
  13. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Wow is the Model X really selling that good in China? Do we know if this data from JL Warren is accurate?
  14. NannerAirCraft

    Q2 Delivery/production Predictions

    Whoops sorry about that also just saw I missed 82.5-85. And it does seem like over time the Model X is pulling past the S in sales with the increased demand for SUV's.
  15. NannerAirCraft

    Q2 Delivery/production Predictions

    Hey all I didn't see a thread for people to predict Q2 deliveries and production so I thought I would make one. So far according to comments made by Elon and leaked sources it's gonna be pretty close on if Tesla can manage to surpass their record from Q4 which was 90,966. I'm hoping Model S&X...
  16. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    According to EV registration statistics for The Netherlands, Norway and Spain we are still above deliveries for Netherlands+Norway+Spain compared to the same time at Q1. Glad to see Europe still operating strong after the big sales month in March and also keep in mind we are getting UK...
  17. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla Gigafactory

    Wasn't the plan to have GF1 already be at 35GWh or even past that? Why are they still stuck around the 24GWh rate after almost a year of volume production.
  18. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Tesla Q1 2019 Vehicle Production & Deliveries | Tesla, Inc. "In the first quarter, we produced approximately 77,100 total vehicles, consisting of 62,950 Model 3 and 14,150 Model S and X. Deliveries were approximately 63,000 vehicles, which was 110% more than the same quarter last year, but 31%...
  19. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Also I don't understand how registered vins could be so high but they don't even produce at a 50% to registered vins. Obviously you can't only go on vins but I don't think they have ever been this off before.
  20. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Very disappointed in these numbers. Also S&X numbers will have to come back up as they still contribute a significant amount of the total profit and at these levels they aren't enough. Can't believe over 13 weeks Tesla still didn't manage over 5k per week production, maybe they had some issues...
  21. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Tesla Model 3, S, X March 2019 U.S. Sales Estimates They just haven't added them to the chart yet. Was hoping for more like 15k for March but Insideev could be low on their estimates this quarter.
  22. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes if Model 3 deliveries were that high I would be expecting a modest net profit. But I simply don't see how they could have deliveries that high. In their guidance they said deliveries would be 10k lower than production. 77k is around my guess for production right now with around 65k...
  23. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    With all the high ASP deliveries in Europe and China I would assume they would balance out the lower ones in the US enough but your probably right they should be a couple thousand lower. The S&X prices and options keep changing so quickly this quarter I'm not sure what they should be at.
  24. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    Sorry my mistake.
  25. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    My estimate for Q1. Obviously we will need actual delivery numbers to make a more accurate estimate.
  26. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Now over 9000 deliveries so far in Norway+Netherlands+Spain this quarter. Not sure what the ratio of those 3 to the rest of Europe will be in sales but I would guess at least the same amount in the rest of Europe as that was the case in February. Guessing we'll have about 20-25k total deliveries...
  27. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Over 4000 Model 3 for Norway now, more than Model S did all last year in one month! I can't wait to see the numbers for the rest of Europe especially in Germany.
  28. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    New record for single day Model 3 and total Tesla deliveries in Norway. 407 Model 3's and 431 including Model S&X.
  29. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    Guys I just checked the page showing total orders in Europe by country and Norway finally got updated after it hasn't seemed to change for like a month. Instead of showing just over 5000 orders it now shows 14000!! Can someone that knows more about this tell me if that number is actually legit...
  30. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Guys I just checked the page showing total orders in Europe by country and Norway finally got updated after it hasn't seemed to change for like a month. Instead of showing just over 5000 orders it now shows 14000!! Can someone that knows more about this tell me if that number is actually legit...
  31. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Another 314 Model 3's have been registered so far today in Norway and the day isn't over!
  32. NannerAirCraft

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Model 3 has now sold more this year in Norway than the Model S has in any previous year. The record year for Model S is 4,042 in 2014 while the Model 3 has already sold 4,108. Still has a bit more to go to beat the Model X which sold 4,980 last year in Norway. Model 3 VINs
  33. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    You think there will be 85k Model 3 deliveries in Q4? That seems like a way too optimistic of a prediction. That would be an average of 7k per week when during Q3 they haven't gotten an average of 5k and nothing I've seen yet has said they've reached their 6k per week burst target. I would think...
  34. NannerAirCraft

    Q2 2018 Earnings Results

    My estimate for Q2. I posted my numbers for Q3 and Q4 in luvb2b's thread.
  35. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    I would assume the people let off were still being paid for almost 2 months of the quarter right? And will be getting severance so I don't know if there will be much difference in Q2. Also aren't they still hiring hundreds of new people for the Model 3 production lines and with all this new...
  36. NannerAirCraft

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    My predictions for Q2-Q4. Some of these numbers are wild guesses.
  37. NannerAirCraft

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    According to InsideEVs estimates in June about 40% of Model S delivered had 100 kWh. "It was the apparent near absence of 100 kWh production early in the month (as we also saw in April…which at the time we thought was a reflection of getting 60 kWh cars out the door). This lack of production...
  38. NannerAirCraft

    2017 Investor Roundtable: TSLA Market Action

    We should also be getting Q2 production/delivery number after hours today right?
  39. NannerAirCraft

    Sunday, Sunday, Sunday!

    Is he saying they'll reach a rate of 20,000 cars per month sometime in December or produce a total of 20,000 cars in December? Or am I paying too much attention to his grammar. :P
  40. NannerAirCraft

    Sunday, Sunday, Sunday!

    No the projection was 5000 cars per week by the end of 2017 so this is right in line with their projections.
  41. NannerAirCraft

    Q2 2017 Delivery Estimates

    My prediction: Production: 27,000 Deliveries: 25,750 I think when broken down between S&X it will be 13,750 S and 12,000 X.
  42. NannerAirCraft

    Q1 2017 Delivery Estimates

    My guess is they produced 25,000 and delivered 25,500. Guessing mix is 14,500 Model S and 11,000 Model X.
  43. NannerAirCraft

    Electric vehicle survey

    Filled out the survey. Glad I can help!
  44. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    So it looks like Norway ended at 54 Model S sales and 43 Model X sales for a total of 97 sales in February. Seems like most of the bump in January was just an overlap from the huge number of vehicles in transit from Q4. Hopefully we see a good uptick in sales for March.
  45. NannerAirCraft

    EU Market Situation and Outlook

    So those 100 powerwalls would just be the early Powerwall 1 right? Or have they started shipping the Powerwall 2 there now.
  46. NannerAirCraft

    Q4 2016 ER Modeling / Predictions

    So Solarcity revenue will be in the Q4 report right? How much revenue do you guys see them adding?
  47. NannerAirCraft

    TSLA BULL Echo Chamber

    Gaining Momentum with Tesla Powerpack This was on Oct 27 so I assume all the recent projects like SCE and Kaua'i weren't included in this total as they hadn't been deployed yet.
  48. NannerAirCraft

    Prediction Competition 2017

    135K Total 110K S & X 25K Model 3
  49. NannerAirCraft

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Any guesses on what margins and operating expenses will be for Q4 then? I'm not seeing any possibility of even a small profit.